Forecast Verification

<b>Forecast Verification: A Practioner’s Guide in Atmospheric Science, 2nd Edition</b> provides an indispensible guide to this area of active research by combining depth of information with a range of topics to appeal both to professional practitioners and researchers and postgraduates. The editors have succeeded in presenting chapters by a variety of the leading experts in the field while still retaining a cohesive and highly accessible style. The book balances explanations of concepts with clear and useful discussion of the main application areas. <p>Reviews of first edition:</p> <p>”This book will provide a good reference, and I recommend it especially for developers and evaluators of statistical forecast systems.” (<i>Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society</i>; April 2004)</p> <p>”…a good mixture of theory and practical applications…well organized and clearly written…” (<i>Royal Statistical Society</i>, Vol.168, No.1, January 2005)</p> <p><b>NEW to the second edition:</b></p> <ul> <li>Completely updated chapter on the <b>Verification of Spatial Forecasts</b> taking account of the wealth of new research in the area</li> <li>New separate chapters on <b>Probability Forecasts</b> and <b>Ensemble Forecasts</b></li> <li>Includes new chapter on <b>Forecasts of Extreme Events and Warnings</b></li> <li>Includes new chapter on <b>Seasonal and Climate Forecasts</b></li> <li>Includes new <b>Appendix on Verification Software</b></li> </ul> <p>Cover image credit: The triangle of barplots shows a novel use of colour for visualizing probability forecasts of ternary categories – see Fig 6b of Jupp et al. 2011, <i>On the visualisation, verification and recalibration of ternary probabilistic forecasts</i>, Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. (in press).</p>