Why Nobody Believes the Numbers

<p><i>Why Nobody Believes the Numbers</i> introduces a unique viewpoint to population health outcomes measurement:   Results/ROIs should be presented as they are, not as we wish they would be.  This viewpoint contrasts sharply with vendor/promoter/consultant claims along two very important dimensions:</p> <p>(1)     <i>Why Nobody Believes</i> presents outcomes/ROIs achievable <i>right here on this very planet…</i></p> <p>(2)   …calculated using actual data rather than controlled substances.</p> <p>Indeed, nowhere in healthcare is it possible to find such sharply contrasting worldviews, methodologies, and grips on reality. </p> <p><i>Why Nobody Believes the Numbers i</i>ncludes 12 case studies of vendors, carriers, and consultants who were apparently playing hooky the day their teacher covered fifth-grade math, as told by an author whose argument style can be so persuasive that he was once able to convince a resort to sell him a timeshare. The book’s lesson: <i> </i>no need to believe what your vendor tells you — instead you can estimate your own savings using “ingredients you already have in your kitchen.” Don’t be intimidated just because you lack a PhD in biostatistics, or even a Masters, Bachelor’s, high-school equivalency diploma or up-to-date inspection sticker.  </p> <p><i>Why Nobody Believes the Numbers</i> explains how to determine if the ROIs are real…and why they usually aren’t. You’ll learn how to:</p> <ul> <li>Figure out whether you are “moving the needle” or just crediting a program with changes that would have happened anyway</li> <li>Judge whether the ROIs your vendors report are plausible or even arithmetically possible</li> <li>Synthesize all these insights into RFPs and contracts that truly hold vendors accountable for results</li> </ul>